SEASONABLE ADJUSTMENT IN FORECASTING THE OUTPUT OF THE CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY

Authors

  • O.G. Nikolaieva

Keywords:

forecast, seasonality, volume of completed construction works, seasonal decomposition method, linear multiple regression method with dummy variables, Holt-Winters method, mean absolute percentage error, coefficient of determination

Abstract

The influence of the seasonal factor on the monthly indicator of construction works in Kherson and the Kharkov region is investigated in the article. Modeling of this influence is carried out on the basis of seasonal decomposition methods, multiple linear regression, and adaptive methods. Point and interval predictions are constructed.

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Published

2019-05-30

Issue

Vol. 4 No. 30 (2018): Scientific Bulletin of KSU. Series «Economic Sciences»

Section

SECTION 10 MATHEMATICAL METHODS, MODELS AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES IN ECONOMY